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Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:08 pm
by Animal
For anyone that gives a shit, my model predicts that the spike in death (highest daily number) for NY State will come today or tomorrow. Thanks.

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:38 pm
by nerd_alert
Flumper wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 2:14 pm
nerd_alert wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:37 am
Flumper wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 4:31 pm
Stapes wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 3:56 pm
I read a little townie Facebook page that the locals post on.......most of the ones who are being tested are waiting 14 days to get their information back.
And now its Maryland jumping on the case count band wagon. They had 4,371 cases yesterday and now, TODAY, they are already reporting 1,158 new cases for the day. That is just statistically impossible. They reported 326 yesterday.

Ugggggh!!!
Gov. Hogan tweeted this out regarding the jump

"Today’s numbers reflect a tripling of the tests reported since yesterday. We are seeing commercial labs begin to clear their backlog of tests. More than 30% of the new cases reported today are for testing that was completed in March."
wow, that's exactly what happened in Houston the other day. I would suspect that is happening in a lot of places. These numbers will all be very meaningful in the long run when this is all over no matter how they come in, but in the short run when you are trying to predict little stuff like when people can go back to work, they need to be VERY clean.
Took them a bit to get their numbers out today, seems like the server had some issues. MD +656 cases today

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:41 pm
by Wut
Flumper wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:08 pm For anyone that gives a shit, my model predicts that the spike in death (highest daily number) for NY State will come today or tomorrow. Thanks.
Post your charts please.

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:44 pm
by Animal
nerd_alert wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:38 pm
Took them a bit to get their numbers out today, seems like the server had some issues. MD +656 cases today
so they are still including backlog test data. Well, it keeps the to-date totals right, but it sure fucks up the daily numbers.

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:53 pm
by Animal
Wut wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:41 pm
Flumper wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:08 pm For anyone that gives a shit, my model predicts that the spike in death (highest daily number) for NY State will come today or tomorrow. Thanks.
Post your charts please.
I am going to try to spend a little time today and make a prediction on the total death count out of the USA once this is all over. There really aren't any models to go by for that.

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 5:08 pm
by Wut
Flumper wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:53 pm
Wut wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:41 pm
Flumper wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:08 pm For anyone that gives a shit, my model predicts that the spike in death (highest daily number) for NY State will come today or tomorrow. Thanks.
Post your charts please.
I am going to try to spend a little time today and make a prediction on the total death count out of the USA once this is all over. There really aren't any models to go by for that.
Ty, the increases are impressively steep.

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 5:13 pm
by megman
Flumper wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:08 pm For anyone that gives a shit, my model predicts that the spike in death (highest daily number) for NY State will come today or tomorrow. Thanks.
That's been a headliner on Drudge for 2 days at least.

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 5:28 pm
by Animal
megman wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 5:13 pm
Flumper wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:08 pm For anyone that gives a shit, my model predicts that the spike in death (highest daily number) for NY State will come today or tomorrow. Thanks.
That's been a headliner on Drudge for 2 days at least.
i won't bore you anymore then.

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 5:35 pm
by Tuesday
Flumper wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 8:34 pm
Tuesday wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 8:27 pm Image
sylvia plath biography
i hope you realize how stupid you look.


IRONY IS DEAD!!!!!! How's the death and destruction coming along? If only we were prepared and had working ventilators and tests and real data. Anyhoo. You were saying?

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 5:38 pm
by Animal
Tuesday wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 5:35 pm IRONY IS DEAD!!!!!! How's the death and destruction coming along? If only we were prepared and had working ventilators and tests and real data. Anyhoo. You were saying?
:lol:

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 5:41 pm
by Tuesday
Flumper wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 5:38 pm
Tuesday wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 5:35 pm IRONY IS DEAD!!!!!! How's the death and destruction coming along? If only we were prepared and had working ventilators and tests and real data. Anyhoo. You were saying?
:lol:


So nothing. I know.
The guy is a pig we both know this. Stop trying to throw the loser that destroyed the place a lifeline. You can do better.

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 7:42 pm
by WestTexasCrude
Good Lord. Will this insanity never end. The county I live in is like 90 X 90 miles. Looking at an almanac it's 4,800 square miles. In all this time, there has been a whopping ONE confirmed case and that was just days ago. So, you guessed it. Today, they locked up the 20 acre (?) City park and County park by the river. Like there are masses of people congregating at each. Fucking Lord, I expected a lot more common sense from the people that run this town/ county. End Rant.

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 7:46 pm
by CaptQuint
WestTexasCrude wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 7:42 pm Good Lord. Will this insanity never end. The county I live in is like 90 X 90 miles. Looking at an almanac it's 4,800 square miles. In all this time, there has been a whopping ONE confirmed case and that was just days ago. So, you guessed it. Today, they locked up the 20 acre (?) City park and County park by the river. Like there are masses of people congregating at each. Fucking Lord, I expected a lot more common sense from the people that run this town/ county. End Rant.
Because you losers lost the war 155 years ago today so we get to tell you what to do. You retarded surrender monkey. Accept your Yankee dominance.

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 7:59 pm
by CaptQuint
Biker wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 7:56 pm
CaptQuint wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 7:46 pm
WestTexasCrude wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 7:42 pm Good Lord. Will this insanity never end. The county I live in is like 90 X 90 miles. Looking at an almanac it's 4,800 square miles. In all this time, there has been a whopping ONE confirmed case and that was just days ago. So, you guessed it. Today, they locked up the 20 acre (?) City park and County park by the river. Like there are masses of people congregating at each. Fucking Lord, I expected a lot more common sense from the people that run this town/ county. End Rant.
Because you losers lost the war 155 years ago today so we get to tell you what to do. You retarded surrender monkey. Accept your Yankee dominance.
Nice win

Image
Image

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:06 pm
by Antknot
Image

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:07 pm
by Animal
Biker wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:05 pm:lol:
set your timer for when we start hearing the first stories about "colored people didnt get the medicine, the ventilators, were turned away at the door of the hospital, etc."

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:15 pm
by Animal
Biker wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:10 pm
Flumper wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:07 pm
Biker wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:05 pm:lol:
set your timer for when we start hearing the first stories about "colored people didnt get the medicine, the ventilators, were turned away at the door of the hospital, etc."
I think its already happening. This virus seems to be deadlier for blacks than their white counterparts

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nat ... 961323001/
that's what I mean. i think, in the end, its going to be astronomic numbers. like maybe 70% of the deaths in the US are minority. You can visually see that the hotspots around the US map are in the inner cities. its not rocket science to know which neighborhoods its spreading through.

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:19 pm
by Animal
Biker wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:10 pm
Flumper wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:07 pm
Biker wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:05 pm:lol:
set your timer for when we start hearing the first stories about "colored people didnt get the medicine, the ventilators, were turned away at the door of the hospital, etc."
I think its already happening. This virus seems to be deadlier for blacks than their white counterparts

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nat ... 961323001/
and the hilarious thing, to me, is that in dallas county you have two bigwigs. Clay Jenkins, the white guy, judge that is dictating the policy for the virus for most of N Texas. And John Wiley Price, the black guy, that ALWAYS has his finger in anything that goes on and ALWYAS plays the race card. Jenkins wants to close everything for as long as possible because its going to kill people, and John Wiley Price is wanting to end the quarantine and get people back to working. Its just backwards from how it would be expected.

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:27 pm
by megman
WestTexasCrude wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 7:42 pm Good Lord. Will this insanity never end. The county I live in is like 90 X 90 miles. Looking at an almanac it's 4,800 square miles. In all this time, there has been a whopping ONE confirmed case and that was just days ago. So, you guessed it. Today, they locked up the 20 acre (?) City park and County park by the river. Like there are masses of people congregating at each. Fucking Lord, I expected a lot more common sense from the people that run this town/ county. End Rant.
90 x 90 = 8100

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:39 pm
by Animal
megman wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:27 pm 90 x 90 = 8100
its actually closer to 80 miles x 60 miles.

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:40 pm
by CaptQuint
Image

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:49 pm
by megman
Workers wearing Hazmat suits bury caskets in huge trenches on New York's Hart Island amid speculation it has become a resting place for coronavirus victims as the number of burials there more than quadruples and the city's death roll rises to 4,260

About a dozen workers were seen digging the graves on Thursday as at least one refrigerated truck was brought onto New York City's Hart Island
Prisoners from Rikers Island are usually brought in to dig graves on Hart Island but the Department of Corrections has now stopped those in custody from carrying out the work due to the coronavirus outbreak

Image

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... sland.html

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:53 pm
by CaptQuint
megman wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:49 pm Workers wearing Hazmat suits bury caskets in huge trenches on New York's Hart Island amid speculation it has become a resting place for coronavirus victims as the number of burials there more than quadruples and the city's death roll rises to 4,260

About a dozen workers were seen digging the graves on Thursday as at least one refrigerated truck was brought onto New York City's Hart Island
Prisoners from Rikers Island are usually brought in to dig graves on Hart Island but the Department of Corrections has now stopped those in custody from carrying out the work due to the coronavirus outbreak

Image

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... sland.html
But WTC's always empty park is closed :roll:

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:55 pm
by WestTexasCrude
Flumper wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:39 pm
megman wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:27 pm 90 x 90 = 8100
its actually closer to 80 miles x 60 miles.
Don't know- never walked it with one of those roller mileage thingies. The 4,800 square miles is correct. Anyhoo, the only thing I can figure is Easter is 3 days away and they are worried parents will bring all their kids to the park for an Easter egg hunt. Like they pile all the eggs in a big pile and let the kids go at it. Hell, it's eggs scattered over acres of park, and when you say go, all the kids scatter in all directions sometimes barely visible on the horizon. Sounds like the definition of social distancing to me. Like I said, common sense thrown out the window- did not expect that here.

Re: Wuhan Coronavirus

Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:59 pm
by Animal
megman wrote: Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:49 pm Workers wearing Hazmat suits bury caskets in huge trenches on New York's Hart Island amid speculation it has become a resting place for coronavirus victims as the number of burials there more than quadruples and the city's death roll rises to 4,260

About a dozen workers were seen digging the graves on Thursday as at least one refrigerated truck was brought onto New York City's Hart Island
Prisoners from Rikers Island are usually brought in to dig graves on Hart Island but the Department of Corrections has now stopped those in custody from carrying out the work due to the coronavirus outbreak

Image

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... sland.html
enlighten me on this just a bit. Is that the place that inmates have buried around 2 dozen people a week for years?