Re: Wuhan Coronavirus
Posted: Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:08 pm
For anyone that gives a shit, my model predicts that the spike in death (highest daily number) for NY State will come today or tomorrow. Thanks.
Took them a bit to get their numbers out today, seems like the server had some issues. MD +656 cases todayFlumper wrote: ↑Thu Apr 09, 2020 2:14 pmwow, that's exactly what happened in Houston the other day. I would suspect that is happening in a lot of places. These numbers will all be very meaningful in the long run when this is all over no matter how they come in, but in the short run when you are trying to predict little stuff like when people can go back to work, they need to be VERY clean.nerd_alert wrote: ↑Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:37 amGov. Hogan tweeted this out regarding the jump
"Today’s numbers reflect a tripling of the tests reported since yesterday. We are seeing commercial labs begin to clear their backlog of tests. More than 30% of the new cases reported today are for testing that was completed in March."
so they are still including backlog test data. Well, it keeps the to-date totals right, but it sure fucks up the daily numbers.nerd_alert wrote: ↑Thu Apr 09, 2020 4:38 pm
Took them a bit to get their numbers out today, seems like the server had some issues. MD +656 cases today
I am going to try to spend a little time today and make a prediction on the total death count out of the USA once this is all over. There really aren't any models to go by for that.
i won't bore you anymore then.
Because you losers lost the war 155 years ago today so we get to tell you what to do. You retarded surrender monkey. Accept your Yankee dominance.WestTexasCrude wrote: ↑Thu Apr 09, 2020 7:42 pm Good Lord. Will this insanity never end. The county I live in is like 90 X 90 miles. Looking at an almanac it's 4,800 square miles. In all this time, there has been a whopping ONE confirmed case and that was just days ago. So, you guessed it. Today, they locked up the 20 acre (?) City park and County park by the river. Like there are masses of people congregating at each. Fucking Lord, I expected a lot more common sense from the people that run this town/ county. End Rant.
Biker wrote: ↑Thu Apr 09, 2020 7:56 pmNice winCaptQuint wrote: ↑Thu Apr 09, 2020 7:46 pmBecause you losers lost the war 155 years ago today so we get to tell you what to do. You retarded surrender monkey. Accept your Yankee dominance.WestTexasCrude wrote: ↑Thu Apr 09, 2020 7:42 pm Good Lord. Will this insanity never end. The county I live in is like 90 X 90 miles. Looking at an almanac it's 4,800 square miles. In all this time, there has been a whopping ONE confirmed case and that was just days ago. So, you guessed it. Today, they locked up the 20 acre (?) City park and County park by the river. Like there are masses of people congregating at each. Fucking Lord, I expected a lot more common sense from the people that run this town/ county. End Rant.
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that's what I mean. i think, in the end, its going to be astronomic numbers. like maybe 70% of the deaths in the US are minority. You can visually see that the hotspots around the US map are in the inner cities. its not rocket science to know which neighborhoods its spreading through.Biker wrote: ↑Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:10 pmI think its already happening. This virus seems to be deadlier for blacks than their white counterparts
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nat ... 961323001/
and the hilarious thing, to me, is that in dallas county you have two bigwigs. Clay Jenkins, the white guy, judge that is dictating the policy for the virus for most of N Texas. And John Wiley Price, the black guy, that ALWAYS has his finger in anything that goes on and ALWYAS plays the race card. Jenkins wants to close everything for as long as possible because its going to kill people, and John Wiley Price is wanting to end the quarantine and get people back to working. Its just backwards from how it would be expected.Biker wrote: ↑Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:10 pmI think its already happening. This virus seems to be deadlier for blacks than their white counterparts
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nat ... 961323001/
90 x 90 = 8100WestTexasCrude wrote: ↑Thu Apr 09, 2020 7:42 pm Good Lord. Will this insanity never end. The county I live in is like 90 X 90 miles. Looking at an almanac it's 4,800 square miles. In all this time, there has been a whopping ONE confirmed case and that was just days ago. So, you guessed it. Today, they locked up the 20 acre (?) City park and County park by the river. Like there are masses of people congregating at each. Fucking Lord, I expected a lot more common sense from the people that run this town/ county. End Rant.
But WTC's always empty park is closedmegman wrote: ↑Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:49 pm Workers wearing Hazmat suits bury caskets in huge trenches on New York's Hart Island amid speculation it has become a resting place for coronavirus victims as the number of burials there more than quadruples and the city's death roll rises to 4,260
About a dozen workers were seen digging the graves on Thursday as at least one refrigerated truck was brought onto New York City's Hart Island
Prisoners from Rikers Island are usually brought in to dig graves on Hart Island but the Department of Corrections has now stopped those in custody from carrying out the work due to the coronavirus outbreak
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... sland.html
Don't know- never walked it with one of those roller mileage thingies. The 4,800 square miles is correct. Anyhoo, the only thing I can figure is Easter is 3 days away and they are worried parents will bring all their kids to the park for an Easter egg hunt. Like they pile all the eggs in a big pile and let the kids go at it. Hell, it's eggs scattered over acres of park, and when you say go, all the kids scatter in all directions sometimes barely visible on the horizon. Sounds like the definition of social distancing to me. Like I said, common sense thrown out the window- did not expect that here.
enlighten me on this just a bit. Is that the place that inmates have buried around 2 dozen people a week for years?megman wrote: ↑Thu Apr 09, 2020 8:49 pm Workers wearing Hazmat suits bury caskets in huge trenches on New York's Hart Island amid speculation it has become a resting place for coronavirus victims as the number of burials there more than quadruples and the city's death roll rises to 4,260
About a dozen workers were seen digging the graves on Thursday as at least one refrigerated truck was brought onto New York City's Hart Island
Prisoners from Rikers Island are usually brought in to dig graves on Hart Island but the Department of Corrections has now stopped those in custody from carrying out the work due to the coronavirus outbreak
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... sland.html